UK economy shrinks by 0.2%, second dip looms

Darren Allan | January 25, 2012 | 0 Comments

The double-dip recession that many fear is heading to UK shores is becoming more of a likelihood given that the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics showed that the economy shrank by 0.2% in the last quarter.

That fall of 0.2% in the fourth quarter of 2011 was more than the 0.1% experts had been forecasting.

The ONS noted that the output of production industries dropped by 1.2% in the final quarter of 2011, eradicating the previous gain of 0.2% made in the third quarter.

The construction sector also suffered a decrease of 0.5% in terms of output, again reversing the 0.3% increase experienced in the previous quarter.

However, service industries remained level, although that represented a considerably worse performance than Q3′s rise of 0.7%.

In volume terms, GDP increased by 0.8% on the fourth quarter of 2010.

Should the next quarter provide a negative figure for the growth of the economy, we will officially be in recession again (the definition being two subsequent quarters of decline in GDP).

Sticks are already being shook at the government, blaming the current all-round cuts and austerity measures for dragging the country into a double-dip recession.

But the truth is that given the prevailing economic conditions – the UK’s huge debt and Eurozone crisis – the avoidance of a second dip was a remote possibility to say the least.

The second dip is expected to be milder, however, particularly with the Bank of England poised to print more money – sorry, we mean “engage in a further program of quantitative easing” – seeing as inflation has actually dipped itself recently (but nowhere near the Bank’s target level, of course).

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Category: All Financial News, Investments News

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